Author DM Celley

Economics

CHINAโ€™S BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE TEN YEARS AFTER

Ten years ago, China embarked on a major effort to increase its economic power and influence across Asia, Africa, and into Europe.  The name of this program came from Xi Jinping, Chinaโ€™s president, when he spoke of building an โ€œeconomic beltโ€ along the โ€œsilk roadโ€ that was the land route to China for many centuries […]

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IS THE U.S. ECONOMY HEADING FOR A SOFT LANDING?

The so-called โ€œSoft Landingโ€ term that gets bantered about whenever there is some Federal Reserve monetary policy activity refers to bringing inflation down without harming economic growth.  It can be visualized as landing an airplane safely with shifting winds all around it.  Itโ€™s difficult to land an airplane under those circumstances, but itโ€™s nearly impossible

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INFLATION CAN MAKE INVESTING PROBLEMATICAL

As we all know, increased inflation has set in on the U.S. economy.  Spending habits for consumers will change as purchases are postponed and household sacrifices are made.  But what does inflation due to the investment sector of the economy? Higher Interest Rates Inhibit Development:  Long-term investing that leads to development is especially impacted by

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IS NOW THE RIGHT TIME TO INVEST IN CHINA?

China is recovering from the multi-year lockdowns employed on the population to try to combat covid-19.  Western executives that have recently traveled to China to reinstate business ties have said that Chinaโ€™s economy is picking up where it left off, and that an economic boom is just around the corner.  But is it really? Chinese

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WHO FEELS THE BURDEN OF THE NATIONAL DEBT?

The United States Government is in debtโ€”so deep in debt that it comes to approximately 117% of GDP.  For the last fifty years, the annual deficit has averaged about 3.5% of GDP each year.  However, the Congressional Budget Office has projected that this metric will rise to about 6.1% a year for the next decade. 

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IS RUSSIAโ€™S WARTIME EFFORT SUSTAINABLE?

In March, 2022, a few weeks after Russia invaded neighboring Ukraine, Western countries began sanctioning the Russian economy.  The sanctions were designed to hurt the Russian war machine and provide โ€œsevere and lasting economic costsโ€ to the Russian population.  A year after the initial impact of the sanctions, the Russian economy has not been crippled,

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IS THE U.S. ECONOMY STRONG OR WEAK?

If the politicians are asked this question, the democrats will complain that corporate power and inequality of wealth have geared the economy to benefit and protect the rich.  Ask the republicans and they will contend that the entrepreneurial spirit has been stifled and the public debt is completely out of control.  What then is the

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INFLATION AND HIGH INTEREST RATES MAY BE HERE FOR A WHILE

Is inflation over?  Will interest rates be coming down soon?  Some economists reading their stat sheets and perhaps their tea leaves are pointing to future trends that will be bringing inflation in many of the G7 countries under control by the end of the year.  However, central bankers have thrown a damp towel over investor

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A PARADIGM FOR BUYING CORPORATE BONDS

To fight inflation, the Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates in whatโ€™s referred to as a tightening cycle.  Rates have climbed steadily by 75 basis points (3/4 of 1%) until the most recent Federal Open Market Committee meeting when the tightening was reduced to 50 basis points or a ยฝ of 1% increase.  The

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