Author DM Celley

Economics

HOW BUSINESSES MANAGE POST PANDEMIC INVENTORIES

Prior to the onset of the Covid-19 Pandemic, the trend in managing business inventories throughout most sectors of the economy had gravitated towards whatโ€™s known as โ€œjust in time,โ€ meaning that smaller levels of stock were maintained that provided just enough product to meet demand.  The goal was to receive merchandise just as it was

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IS THE NEXT U.S. RECESSION JUST AROUND THE CORNER?

Inflation is upon us, and it wonโ€™t be going away very soon, echoes the sentiment in Washington D.C. as the Federal Reserve sets out to combat it.  Whenever inflation passes above 4% and unemployment falls below 4%, the U.S. economy has gone through a recession, as per Lawrence Summers, Harvard professor and former Treasury Secretary. 

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COULD THERE SOON BE ANOTHER GLOBAL HOUSING CRISIS?

The era of easy money is coming to an end thanks to a combination of geopolitical events that have spurred a wild rush of inflation.  Central banks in many parts of the world are already beginning, or are set to begin, tightening cycles, designed to quash this inflation.  The demand for housing has held up

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DID THE FED BLUNDER WITH ITS INFLATION POLICY?

Investors as well as central bankers have been lulled into complacency by forty years of controlled inflation coupled with major economic growth.  Itโ€™s possible that policy makers were hesitant to react when inflation started up with a vengeance about one year ago.  But for many months since that time, it appeared that the Federal Reserve

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THE ROLE OF QUANTITATIVE EASING IN INFLATION

Inflation is upon us as evidenced by rising fuel and food prices, along with almost everything from clothing, to housing, to new vehicles.  Most economists point to this round of inflation as owing to ultra-low interest rates coupled with low unemployment thereby providing strong demand.  The supply chain, still recovering from Covid, cannot rise up

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THE 1920โ€™s, AN ERA OF GET-RICH-QUICK SCHEMES

At the end of World War I, the U.S. economy went through a major boom era known popularly as the roaring twenties.  Rising incomes meeting up with rising technological advances created progressive lifestyles for many middle and upper class Americans.  It also nourished the get-rich-quick attitude that has long pervaded American society.  Those times and

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THE FUTURE OF THE SANCTIONED CRUDE OIL MARKET

Thanks to the war in the Ukraine and corresponding sanctions, crude oil markets have been roiled worldwide as traders in various parts of the world grapple with sharply higher crude oil prices.  The trickle down has hit just about all phases of oil production to the retail level.  The mayhem has reached the natural gas

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