Author DM Celley

Stock Markets

IS THE NEXT U.S. RECESSION JUST AROUND THE CORNER?

Inflation is upon us, and it won’t be going away very soon, echoes the sentiment in Washington D.C. as the Federal Reserve sets out to combat it.  Whenever inflation passes above 4% and unemployment falls below 4%, the U.S. economy has gone through a recession, as per Lawrence Summers, Harvard professor and former Treasury Secretary. 

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THE ROLE OF QUANTITATIVE EASING IN INFLATION

Inflation is upon us as evidenced by rising fuel and food prices, along with almost everything from clothing, to housing, to new vehicles.  Most economists point to this round of inflation as owing to ultra-low interest rates coupled with low unemployment thereby providing strong demand.  The supply chain, still recovering from Covid, cannot rise up

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THE 1920’s, AN ERA OF GET-RICH-QUICK SCHEMES

At the end of World War I, the U.S. economy went through a major boom era known popularly as the roaring twenties.  Rising incomes meeting up with rising technological advances created progressive lifestyles for many middle and upper class Americans.  It also nourished the get-rich-quick attitude that has long pervaded American society.  Those times and

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INFLATION IN GERMANY AFTER WORLD WAR I

When World War I ended in November, 1918, Germany’s economy was in a shambles.  At the Paris Peace Conference in 1919, Germany was obliged to accept defeat and agree to pay a huge amount of money for reparations primarily to France and Belgium, owing to the great destruction and loss of life inflicted on those

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HOW HEDGE FUNDS IMPACT TODAY’S MARKETS

Today’s financial markets have shown considerable volatility that’s likely to unnerve many private investors.  Much of the reason for it comes from the changing character of the economy due to the massive amount of government stimulus stemming from the pandemic.  As this stimulus winds down in the face of inflation, financial markets have been shifting

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WHAT INVESTORS SHOULD DO ABOUT INTEREST RATE INCREASES

The Federal Reserve has all but guaranteed us that interest rate increases will be forthcoming, perhaps as soon as March of this year.  Further, the process of quantitative easing, or increasing the money supply as the Fed buys government bonds, will be dialed back to zero.  We know that interest rate increases should have an

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TIME: THE FORGOTTEN DIMENSION OF INVESTING

All investments, big or small, have three structural components:  the amount of money invested, the expected rate of return, and the time or duration of the investment.  Many investors, especially smaller, private ones, are familiar with the first two components, but don’t pay that much attention to the third one. The Time Value of Money: 

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WHAT’S BEHIND THE SUPPLY CHAIN BACKLOG?

The supply chains in the U.S. are clogged with merchandise enroute from foreign manufacturers to domestic distributors and retailers.  The consequences of this include record-breaking shipping rates, long queues of vessels that must wait over a week to reach a berth in U.S. ports, and logjams at railroad yards.  Most of these issues pertain to

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